KGC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: KGC's robust historical returns and strong institutional support, alongside positive price momentum and high call volume, suggest bullish potential. The ongoing Tasiast expansion could further boost production and profitability.




Bearish Case: Persistent market skepticism, high implied volatility, and geopolitical risks in mining regions pose significant downside risks. Volatility spikes and high put volumes indicate potential for downward pressure.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of upside from institutional backing and production increases.

2. 35% probability of downside due to geopolitical risks and competition.

3. 25% chance of price stagnation amid mixed signals.




Trading Oracle:
Execute a bullish short volatility strategy: Sell 2 ATM $12 put options, buy 3 OOTM $11 put options. Positive edge and 74% profit probability capitalize on potential price stability and volatility decay.



March 22, 2025


Kinross Gold Forecast

KGC        Kinross Gold











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