RKLB Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RKLB benefits from successful launches, government contracts, and a strong market position. Increasing demand for small satellite launches supports growth, enhanced by positive sentiment and a bullish implied volatility skew.




Bearish Case: High volatility and insider selling highlight market uncertainty. Competitive pressures from larger players and potential project delays could impact short-term performance negatively, amplifying risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stabilization around $20 (50%)
  • Decline due to competitive pressures (30%)
  • Surge from new contracts (20%)




Trading Oracle:
Choose Bullish Short Volatility due to favorable volatility surface and historical edge. Should leverage increased call volume and demand in space sector contracts. Flat volatility surfaces suggest exploiting theta decay. Strategy's profit odds sit at 66%, yielding a 14% potential return.



April 13, 2025


Rocket Lab USA Forecast

RKLB        Rocket Lab USA











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RKLB



CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (0.97)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.96)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (0.95)


BFLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BFLY  Butterfly Network (0.95)


ARKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKF  ARK Fintech Innovation (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RKLB



TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.0)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.01)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.01)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.01)


DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RKLB



CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (-0.87)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.88)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.89)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.89)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.92)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with RKLB


 Ask any question about RKLB!