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RKLB Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The increasing contracts and expansion into larger payloads, combined with strategic collaborations, position Rocket Lab for impressive long-term growth.



Bearish Case: Consistent insider selling and recent price declines signal potential structural issues, compounded by fierce competition from bigger space industry players.



Potential Outcomes: Potential outcomes:

1) 40% chance of stabilization due to strategic partnerships,

2) 30% chance of decline on competitive pressures,

3) 30% sustained growth from new contracts.



Trading Oracle: Given the high implied volatility and bullish AI forecast, initiate a Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM call options. This benefits from potential upward price movements and current volatile conditions, maximizing the upside potential.


February 25, 2025


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