RKLB Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Rocket Lab's recent successful launches boost confidence in its capabilities, while projections of increased revenue from contracts indicate potential growth. Low implied volatility suggests the market may be underestimating future bullish momentum.


Bearish Case: Insider selling raises concerns about management's confidence, combined with a flat volatility term structure indicating market uncertainty. Continued low trading volumes may impede significant upward movement in RKLB's stock price.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Price stabilizes around $5.40 (60%);

2) Surge towards $6.00 driven by new contracts (25%);

3) Drop to $4.50 due to further insider selling or negative sentiment (15%).


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July 24, 2024


Rocket Lab USA Forecast

RKLB      Rocket Lab USA











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LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.31)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.22)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.36)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RKLB



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.31)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.36)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.62)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RKLB



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.31)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.22)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.36)





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