KOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Helium AI predicts a 2.08% price increase and bullish risk is 86% more than bearish, suggesting potential for a rebound, especially if cold weather spikes natural gas demand.




Bearish Case: Despite short-term bullish signals, KOLD's historical trend is overwhelmingly negative, with a 97% decline from five years ago, illustrating persistent downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50% chance of bearish trend continuation due to historical declines.
  2. 30% chance of short-term bullish momentum from AI forecast.
  3. 20% chance of volatility driving unexpected outcomes.




Trading Oracle: Consider Bearish Long Volatility: Buy OOTM put options, sell fewer further OOTM puts. This strategy aligns with long-term bearish trends and elevated short-term implied volatility, offering potential for high-reward scenarios.



March 20, 2025


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas Forecast

KOLD        ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KOLD



OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.78)


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.76)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.73)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.72)


TXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXT  Textron (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KOLD



SBGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBGI  Sinclair Broadcast Group (-0.0)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.0)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (-0.0)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (-0.01)


TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOLD



HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.65)


DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.65)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.67)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.7)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.73)









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