KOS Forecast


Bullish Case: Higher likelihood of price recovery seen in historical return surfaces combined with recent positive Neo-drift and analyst estimates supports potential short-term gains.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility across various strikes indicates market apprehension, with continued insider selling and current macroeconomic uncertainty posing significant downside risks.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Short-term price stabilization (35%).

2. Continued sell-off on poor earnings or macro issues (30%).

3. Recovery driven by positive oil market and news (35%).


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July 23, 2024


Kosmos Energy Forecast

KOS      Kosmos Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KOS



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.68)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.64)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.2)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KOS



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.2)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.64)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.68)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.78)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KOS



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.68)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.64)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.2)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.78)





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