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AI LAUR Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Analyst optimism, especially regarding enrollment growth in Mexico and a potential Peruvian market rebound, create favorable conditions for LAUR, implying a price recovery potential towards historical highs.

Bearish Case: Upcoming insider selling and continued market volatility could lead to further price declines. Historical correlations show negative interactions with predicted price movements, suggesting a bearish outlook.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Rebound in the Peruvian market: 30%.

2. Continued enrollment growth in Mexico: 40%.

3. Analyst adjustments result in new targets: 25%.

4. High insider selling realizations: 35%.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish position via debit spreads on LAUR using 15.00 C and 20.00 C options expiring within 60 days. Implied volatility indicates a long volatility strategy is appropriate, maximizing potential returns while managing risk.

August 24, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LAUR

CNX CNX Resources (0.88)

KBR KBR (0.88)

PPTA Perpetua Resources (0.84)

SU Suncor Energy (0.83)

GLNG Golar Lng (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LAUR

FTNT Fortinet (-0.0)

RIG Transocean (-0.01)

GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (0.01)

GOGO Gogo (-0.01)

ENVX Enovix (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAUR

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.79)

IYT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (-0.8)

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.81)

SAGE Sage Therapeutics (-0.82)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)

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