IMO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IMO's focus on renewable energy and strong fundamentals indicate potential for continued growth. The historical price return data shows resilience, supporting optimism.




Bearish Case: Environmental regulations and geopolitical tensions could pressure IMO's operations. The high implied volatility at lower strikes suggests market uncertainty and potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Geopolitical tensions ease, driving prices up: 25%.

2. Increased regulation impacts operations: 30%.

3. Continued market stability supports steady growth: 45%.




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January 28, 2025


Imperial Oil Forecast

IMO        Imperial Oil











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Assets that tend to move strongly with IMO



XLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLB  Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.7)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.63)


ED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ED  Consolidated Edison (0.63)


PI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PI  Impinj (0.63)


RGLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGLD  Royal Gold (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IMO



CWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWH  Camping World (-0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.01)


NOV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOV  NOV (0.01)


BHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHP  BHP Group Limited (-0.01)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IMO



RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.5)


RLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RLX  RLX Technology (-0.51)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (-0.51)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.54)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.54)









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