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IMO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: IMO's recent rebound and mean-reverting pattern, coupled with strategic partnerships and higher oil prices, suggest potential for steady gains.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and declining refining margins could indicate price pressure, alongside environmental and regulatory challenges affecting operations.

Potential Outcomes: Price stability around $72 (40%) due to balanced market conditions.
Drop to $65 (30%) driven by regulatory challenges and market volatility.
Rise to $80 (30%) if oil prices increase and strategic initiatives succeed.

May 21, 2025

Imperial Oil Forecast

IMO Imperial Oil

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IMO

HAS Hasbro (0.59)

CMCSA Comcast (0.57)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.54)

OMC Omnicom Group (0.54)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.54)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IMO

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.0)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (0.01)

TK Teekay (0.01)

VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.01)

AMCX AMC Networks (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IMO

UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.33)

BB BlackBerry (-0.35)

HIMX Himax (-0.37)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.4)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.4)

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