LAZR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Luminar's ongoing technological leadership, crucial partnerships with automakers, and restructuring to an asset-light model could enhance efficiency and profitability.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility, recent restructuring with workforce cuts, and increased competition pose significant risks to Luminar's future market share and valuation.


Potential Outcomes: 60%- Sustained leadership and growth from partnerships; 25% - Failure to meet growth targets; 15% - Competitors outpace Luminar's technology.


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May 28, 2024











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