LSTR Forecast


Bullish Case: LSTR's fundamental resilience, institution support, and higher call option volumes suggest potential for continued growth. Elevated implied volatility indicates strong investor interest.


Bearish Case: High freight sector competition, declining revenues, and previous insider selling pressures may cause headwinds. Maintaining flat price action hints at market skepticism.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings beat and positive analyst ratings rally stocks; 25%.

2. Insider selling and sector revaluation depress prices; 30%.

3. Market stagnation; 35% chance.

4. Market correction; 10%.


Trading Oracle: Trade bearish short-volatility strategy utilizing LSTR options. Sell short-term $185 strike calls and buy offsetting $195 strike calls. Time outlook is 28 days. Positive edge, high reward:risk, utilize elevated implied volatilities.


July 20, 2024


Landstar System Forecast

LSTR      Landstar System











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LSTR



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.19)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.1)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LSTR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.1)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.19)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.44)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LSTR



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.19)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.1)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)





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