LTH Forecast


Bullish Case: LTH has insider buying with high volume contracts indicating confidence. The Helium model forecasts suggest a potential rise in LTH prices. High implied volatility and volume surge in specific calls suggest bullish sentiment.


Bearish Case: The flat implied volatility surface, low trading volume, and historical return patterns point towards stagnation or decline. Overhead costs and market skepticism remain threats, corroborating bearish sentiment in outlier puts.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Market re-evaluation, +15% (40%).

2. Overhead cost pressure, -10% (35%).

3. Stagnation, 0% (25%).


Trading Oracle: Deploy a long volatility call debit spread expiring in 2-3 months to benefit from potential upside and high IV. Hedge with a short volatility put credit spread to capitalize on potential stagnation and IV decay. This dual strategy balances bullish/bearish risks with a positive edge.


July 11, 2024


Life Time Forecast

LTH      Life Time











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LTH



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.34)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.09)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.13)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LTH



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.09)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.13)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.23)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.34)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LTH



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.34)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.09)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.13)





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