MHLD Forecast


Bullish Case: If MHLD secures favorable regulatory outcomes and leverages recent partnerships, it could trigger a price rebound, as historical trends show potential returns exceeding 200% over 1-2 years.


Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges or negative market sentiment could drive MHLD down further, exacerbating its historical downtrend of over 80% in ten years, leading to a possible sub-$1 price level.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive regulatory decision (30%);

2) Continued legal issues (40%);

3) Stabilization around current levels with slight uptrend (20%);

4) Unexpected investor interest leading to a short-term spike (10%).


Trading Oracle: Implement a debit spread with MHLD $2.50 calls expiring on 08/16/2024, given an estimated 62.5% implied volatility and potential upcoming bullish news — aim for a 1:3 risk/reward ratio. Consider exiting early upon achieving a 100% profit.


July 24, 2024


Maiden Forecast

MHLD      Maiden











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MHLD



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.55)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.44)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MHLD



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.22)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.37)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.44)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.55)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MHLD



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.55)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.37)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.44)





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