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MOAT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MOAT's strong historical returns and high call volume suggest robust growth potential. Current low implied volatility supports a bullish outlook.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and negative macroeconomic indicators imply potential downside. Mean-reverting price behavior may lead to declines.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Market rally boosts MOAT (45%).

2. Continued sideways movement (30%).

3. Economic downturn triggers decline (25%).



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February 23, 2025


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