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MOAT Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A strong macroeconomic recovery and impressive earnings reports could push MOAT above $100, reflecting historical resilience and bullish investor sentiment amid low implied volatility trends.

Bearish Case: Continued macroeconomic headwinds and high put volume suggest potential for a price decline, possibly testing support around $90 as investors respond to unfavorable news and increasing implied volatility levels.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market recovery boosts MOAT towards $100 (40%).

2. Stable conditions maintain sideways movement ($92-$96, 30%).

3. Deteriorating macroeconomic sentiment drives price down to $90 (30%).

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November 20, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOAT

UNM Unum (0.95)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.94)

PHM PulteGroup (0.94)

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.93)

KKR KKR (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOAT

RRC Range Resources (-0.0)

IMNM Immunome (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.02)

DKNG DraftKings (0.02)

HIVE HIVE Blockchain (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOAT

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.8)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.82)

AZUL Azul (-0.82)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.91)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.95)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

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Trading Strategies

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Short Volatility

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