MOMO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MOMO's mean reversion pattern indicates recovery potential, supported by positive sentiment on social media and stable implied volatility, suggesting a favorable risk-reward outlook.




Bearish Case: High volatility risk and persistent mean reversion suggest potential declines amid competitive pressures unless sentiment improves significantly.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Mean reversion stabilizes prices: 40%
  2. Continued competitive pressures lead to decline: 30%
  3. Positive sentiment drives short-term rally: 20%
  4. Regulatory setbacks impact negatively: 10%



June 20, 2025


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOMO



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.53)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.48)


DNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNA  Ginkgo Bioworks (0.48)


QQQM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQM  Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (0.48)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.46)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOMO



GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.0)


NUVB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NUVB  Nuvation Bio (-0.01)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.01)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (0.02)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOMO



CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.21)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.22)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.22)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.28)


CPRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPRT  Copart (-0.31)









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