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MOS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Sustained fertilizer demand and strategic initiatives position MOS for potential recovery. High call volume suggests investor optimism, potentially indicating a price rebound.

Bearish Case: Persistent market volatility and economic headwinds could pressure MOS. High implied volatilities signal uncertainty, and oversupply concerns in agriculture may hinder performance.

Potential Outcomes: 50%: Moderate recovery driven by agricultural trends.
30%: Continued pressure from economic challenges.
20%: Stability amidst mixed signals and market uncertainties.

April 01, 2025

Mosaic Forecast

MOS Mosaic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOS

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.83)

OVV Ovintiv (0.79)

NFE New Fortress Energy (0.75)

DVN Devon Energy (0.75)

MUR Murphy Oil (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOS

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.0)

PCOR Procore (-0.0)

PHM PulteGroup (-0.01)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.02)

TARA Protara Therapeutics (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOS

TW Tradeweb Markets (-0.67)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (-0.69)

NEON Neonode (-0.69)

MSI Motorola (-0.7)

ADC Agree Realty (-0.71)

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