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MOS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong recovery phase and high call volume amplify investor confidence; consistent upward momentum might continue due to improving agricultural industry factors.

Bearish Case: Persistent economic headwinds and flat term structure indicate potential vulnerabilities, suggesting caution toward sustained upward trajectory.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of moderate recovery due to agricultural stability in 2025.
25% risk of downturn from macroeconomic challenges.
15% likelihood of sharp volatility driven by external shocks or sector misalignment.

June 02, 2025

Mosaic Forecast

MOS Mosaic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOS

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (0.7)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.6)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.57)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.57)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.52)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOS

CPRI Capri (-0.0)

PHG Koninklijke Philips (0.0)

SIG Signet Jewelers (0.01)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.01)

UVV Universal (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOS

JBLU Jetblue Airways (-0.43)

LFVN Lifevantage (-0.46)

IMAX Imax (-0.48)

EXPE Expedia (-0.5)

POST Post (-0.51)

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