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MPC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MPC's implied volatility is stabilizing, suggesting market confidence. Strong call volume, bullish sentiment, and potential recovery from recent price drop support upside momentum.



Bearish Case: MPC faces persistent environmental liabilities and diminished investor confidence due to recent underperformance and implied volatility backwardation, indicating market uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth (50%): Implied vol stability, market confidence.
  • Decline (30%): Environmental liabilities impact.
  • Stagnation (20%): Mixed sentiment and flat returns.


April 24, 2025


Marathon Petroleum Forecast

MPC        Marathon Petroleum

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MPC


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.91)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.91)


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.89)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.89)


FDMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDMT  4D Molecular Therapeutics (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPC


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (0.0)


HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (-0.01)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (-0.01)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.01)


WHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHD  Cactus (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPC


TJX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TJX  TJX Companies (-0.77)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.78)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.79)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.79)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.84)







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