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MRC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MRC's 39.5% rise over the past year and securing of new certifications suggest potential revenue growth.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and negative sentiment indicate continued financial and legal challenges.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued moderate growth (30%): Driven by new contracts.
  • Stagnation or decline (50%): Ongoing legal and financial issues persist.
  • Unexpected rebound due to volatility (20%).



Trading Oracle: Utilize a short straddle at the $14.79 strike to capitalize on high volatility. Expiring in 1-3 months, this captures premium decay if MRC remains flat or moves moderately. Adjust for unexpected legal news or certifications. Target spreads with implied volatility above 40% for maximum leverage.


January 29, 2025


MRC Forecast

MRC        MRC

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MRC


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.73)


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.72)


LINC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LINC  Lincoln Educational Services (0.72)


ATGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATGE  Adtalem Global Education (0.72)


ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRC


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.0)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (-0.0)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.0)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRC


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.53)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.58)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.61)


NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (-0.63)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.64)







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