MRC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MRC's 39.5% rise over the past year and securing of new certifications suggest potential revenue growth.




Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and negative sentiment indicate continued financial and legal challenges.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued moderate growth (30%): Driven by new contracts.
  • Stagnation or decline (50%): Ongoing legal and financial issues persist.
  • Unexpected rebound due to volatility (20%).




Trading Oracle: Utilize a short straddle at the $14.79 strike to capitalize on high volatility. Expiring in 1-3 months, this captures premium decay if MRC remains flat or moves moderately. Adjust for unexpected legal news or certifications. Target spreads with implied volatility above 40% for maximum leverage.



January 29, 2025


MRC Forecast

MRC        MRC











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MRC



VTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTWO  Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (0.69)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.67)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.66)


ARES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARES  Ares (0.66)


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRC



BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.0)


SCHB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHB  Schwab Strategic Trust - Schwab U.S. Broad Market (0.0)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.0)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.0)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRC



BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.52)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.52)


NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (-0.54)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.54)


DNUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNUT  Krispy Kreme (-0.59)









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