MSEX Forecast


Bullish Case: Recent insider buys and high dividend yields signal confidence in MSEX's future. Positive short-term price increases paired with low overall volatility suggest potential near-term gains.


Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio and historical mean reversion indicate potential overvaluation. Long-term volatility shows downward price risk, reflected in declining prices over the past year.


Potential Outcomes: Neutral price trend (50%), continued price decline (30%), sudden bullish reversal (20%). Predictions consider mean reversion behavior, insider activities, and volatility surfaces.


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July 12, 2024


Middlesex Water Forecast

MSEX      Middlesex Water











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSEX



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.81)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.63)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.41)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSEX



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.41)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.63)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.71)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.81)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSEX



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.81)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.63)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.41)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.71)





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