MSOS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: MSOS shows strong potential for upside due to positive legislative changes, decreasing tax burdens on cannabis businesses, and recent price stability near historical support levels.


Bearish Case: MSOS remains highly volatile with a significant risk of further declines due to high taxation, competitive pressures, and a recent pattern of steep market corrections.


Potential Outcomes: MSOS could see a 15% rise (45%), stagnate around current levels (35%), or decline by 10% (20%) due to ongoing market volatility and regulatory uncertainties.


Trading Oracle: Implement a short volatility strategy: Sell 2 $7.0 strike puts expiring in ~3 days and buy 7 $6.5 strike puts. This strategy leverages MSOS's flat IV structure, high historical returns, and Helium’s positive edge, with a high reward:risk and 72% probability of profit.


July 10, 2024


Advisorshares Trust - AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis Forecast

MSOS      Advisorshares Trust - AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSOS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.42)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.46)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSOS



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.42)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.46)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.54)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSOS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.42)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.46)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.55)





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