MTN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: MTN’s high price-to-book ratio, steady dividends, and potential for European growth could support a rebound.


Bearish Case: MTN faces significant legal challenges, declining visitor numbers, and a bearish AI forecast of -2.22%.


Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of price increase due to European market growth, 35% chance of decline from legal issues, 25% stability.


Trading Oracle: Utilize a bearish credit spread: Sell Jan $180 Call, Buy Jan $200 Call. Current volatility is favorable for short positions. A 6-month outlook balances risk and capitalizes on high trading volume.


July 16, 2024


Vail Resorts Forecast

MTN      Vail Resorts











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.73)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.61)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.18)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.52)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTN



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.18)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.52)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.61)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.73)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.73)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.61)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.18)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.52)





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