MTTR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: MTTR's mean reversion tendency and recent uptick (+10.7%) coupled with AI-driven technology advances may indicate a potential near-term rebound.


Bearish Case: Persistent underperformance, high volatility in options markets, and negative historical returns (as seen in return surface) suggest continued downside risk for MTTR.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 50% chance of continued volatility within a mean-reverting range;

2) 30% chance of a significant decline due to structural issues;

3) 20% chance of rally driven by AI innovation.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread (Helium short volatility) due to high long-term uncertainty and market volatility. Sell $5.0 calls, buy $4.0 calls, expiring Jan 2025. Capture premium if MTTR fluctuates randomly. High edge, reward:risk, high probability trade.


June 28, 2024


Matterport Forecast

MTTR      Matterport











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTTR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.41)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.14)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.17)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTTR



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.14)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.17)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.41)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTTR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.41)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.14)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.17)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)





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