MXL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: MaxLinear's PEG ratio of 0.79 indicates potential undervaluation. Significant call options volume and a rise in share price (+13.3% past month) suggest renewed interest. AI implied volatility is slightly higher than market, hinting potential upside.


Bearish Case: Insider selling and flat recent price action (-0.35% AI forecast) indicate limited internal confidence. High price-to-book ratio (9.7) and elevated implied volatility suggest caution. Persistent bearish sentiment from analyst downgrades and poor financial outlook.


Potential Outcomes: 30%: Price rallies on positive developments. 50%: Continued stagnation due to market uncertainties. 20%: Significant decline due to negative financial developments or market conditions.


Trading Oracle: Pursue a short volatility strategy. Sell a $25 strike call and buy a $30 strike call expiring in ~175 days. This aligns with MXL's high implied volatility, bearish sentiment, and model's 79% profit odds. Capture gains from expected volatility drop and price stability.


June 30, 2024


MaxLinear Forecast

MXL      MaxLinear











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MXL



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.18)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.09)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.09)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MXL



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.09)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.09)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.18)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.45)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MXL



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.18)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.09)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.09)


MXL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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