NEU Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: NEU's backwardation suggests near-term optimism, with strong specialty chemicals demand driving upward price momentum. Historical returns indicate high positive returns likelihood.




Bearish Case: Heightened local economic risks and substantial call-to-put skew signal potential downside. Implied volatility suggests unresolved market concerns.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued specialty chemicals growth, boosting prices (40%)
  • Local economic challenges impact demand (35%)
  • Significant volatility due to global market disruptions (25%)



May 11, 2025


NewMarket Forecast

NEU        NewMarket











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PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (0.38)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.36)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NEU



RYAAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RYAAY  Ryanair (-0.0)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.0)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.0)


BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BA  Boeing (-0.0)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NEU



RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (-0.42)


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (-0.44)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (-0.47)


QYLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QYLD  Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (-0.5)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.58)









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