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NFG Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: NFG's robust institutional interest and high call volume indicate potential for price recovery. Historical returns favor continued stability with upside potential.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility on puts, weak price performance, and external factors like policy changes raise caution. Downside pressure is a concern.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion is likely at 60%. Institutional buying could boost prices 20%. Volatility dips: 15%. Policy changes impact sector: 5%.

Trading Oracle: Consider bullish debit spreads using NFG 04/17/2025 65.00 C and 70.00 C. This leverages moderate call volume and implied volatility. With a 3-4 month outlook, structure around $65-$70, offering positive risk-reward and profit potential.

December 26, 2024

National Fuel Gas Forecast

NFG National Fuel Gas

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NFG

XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR (0.98)

VIRT Virtu Financial (0.97)

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.97)

CRS Carpenter Technology (0.97)

ORI Old Republic International (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NFG

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.0)

UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.0)

INTU Intuit (-0.01)

UNIT Uniti (0.02)

ACN Accenture (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NFG

XRX Xerox (-0.91)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.92)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.93)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.93)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.