NFLX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong original content and subscriber growth, coupled with strategic partnerships like Ms. Rachel's, bolster sentiment.




Bearish Case: Rising competition and macroeconomic pressures strain Netflix's growth; social media negativity adds risk.




Potential Outcomes: 60% chance robust subscriber growth, 25% stagflation impact, 15% fall from negative sentiment/cancellations.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish call debit spread for March expiration, targeting a 900 strike. Volatility remains elevated, indicating market optimism. Leverage the current upward momentum and positive content impacts. Adjust strategy closer to March if volatility shifts.



January 15, 2025


NetFlix Forecast

NFLX        NetFlix











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IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)









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