NHI Forecast


Bullish Case: NHI has shown recent stabilization with a 21.1% rise over 90 days and call options volume strongly outweighing put options, reflecting investor confidence.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility on puts and historical tendencies toward flat or negative returns indicate market uncertainty; potential for economic downturns to impact senior housing funds.


Potential Outcomes: [NCBI] Continued price rise on robust earnings and positive sector growth (35%). [cepr.org] Price decline amid economic slowdown and occupancy rate drop (45%). [defenseworld.net] Flat performance due to market stasis and competing factors (20%).


Trading Oracle: Trade a bearish credit spread. Sell $70 puts and buy $60 puts expiring in 90 days to capitalize on high volatility. This strategy has a high reward-to-risk ratio and a positive edge due to current high implied volatility on puts.


July 14, 2024


National Health Investors Forecast

NHI      National Health Investors











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NHI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.43)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.68)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NHI



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.43)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.68)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.69)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NHI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.89)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.43)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.68)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.69)





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