NLY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Annaly's diversified investment portfolio and improved yield on interest-earning assets can boost returns amid market volatility. Institutional interest, robust liquidity, and a strong balance sheet support a favorable long-term outlook.


Bearish Case: Annaly faces risks due to volatile interest rates and dividend sustainability concerns. High leverage and declining earnings signal potential downside, with ongoing capital distribution doubts exacerbating bearish sentiment.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued strategic growth amid favorable environment (45%).

2. Dividend cuts lead to investor confidence drop (35%).

3. Price stagnation from mixed signals (20%).


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July 10, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NLY



AGNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGNC  AGNC Investment (0.93)


NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (0.77)


WTRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WTRG  Essential Utilities (0.76)


CSV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSV  Carriage Services (0.75)


EQR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQR  Equity Residential Properties (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NLY



GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.0)


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (-0.0)


GRPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRPN  Groupon (-0.0)


SM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SM  SM Energy (-0.0)


NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NLY



UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.46)


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.47)


HDSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HDSN  Hudson Technologies (-0.48)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.62)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.68)





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