NWN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: With management turning a revenue decline into growth and an improvement in EPS despite unfavorable conditions, NWN is showing resilience. An uptick in demand for energy, especially in colder months, could push earnings beyond current expectations.


Bearish Case: NWN's consistent miss on earnings expectations alongside a decline in share value over three years positions the company for potential further declines as market expectations continue to adjust downward.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings Beat: 20% chance - Improved operational efficiencies take hold.

2. Meet Earnings Forecast: 50% chance - Stability in operations continues.

3. Earnings Miss: 30% chance - Continued pressures from high operational costs and low demand.


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May 14, 2024


Northwest Natural Forecast

NWN      Northwest Natural











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BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.81)


SGML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGML  Sigma Lithium (0.8)


ALB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALB  Albemarle (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NWN



WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (-0.0)


RGLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGLD  Royal Gold (0.0)


THO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THO  Thor Industries (-0.01)


FL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FL  Foot Locker (-0.01)


BOOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOOT  Boot Barn (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NWN



SNPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNPS  Synopsys (-0.76)


EDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDU  New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. - (-0.76)


WRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRB  W.R. Berkley (-0.76)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.77)


XPO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPO  XPO Logistics (-0.77)





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