OGI Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: The growing demand for cannabis products and Organigram's innovative expansion efforts could drive revenue. With a projected improvement in the recreational marijuana market, OGI may witness significant price increases, supported by historical return trends suggesting higher returns with multi-year holding periods.


Bearish Case: Organigram's recent financial losses and challenges in international sales may lead to further depreciation in stock value. Market volatility and competitive pressures could exacerbate these issues, resulting in a bearish outlook for OGI, particularly in the short to medium term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% - Continued growth in the cannabis market fuels revenue.

2. 40% - Persistent financial struggles limit price recovery.

3. 30% - Regulatory changes favor market expansion.

4. 20% - Increased competition leads to market share losses.

5. 25% - A severe downturn in the overall economy reduces disposable income for consumers.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy by initiating a debit spread on OGI 12/20/2024 $2.00 calls, capitalizing on high implied volatility and favorable return signals. Target a 3-6 month horizon, focusing on potential upside as market dynamics shift favorably. Monitor for bullish market reports to adjust positions accordingly.


July 25, 2024


OrganiGram Forecast

OGI      OrganiGram











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XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


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ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.66)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OGI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.66)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.5)





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