PACB Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: PACB's potential for significant growth rests on its advanced genomics technology and a strategic integration with key partners. Its historical revenue growth and the positive relative likelihood of higher returns bolster this case.


Bearish Case: Despite growth potential, PACB's substantial debt and persistent net losses pose significant financial risks. Mean-reverting price action and recent declining trends flag potential for further depreciation.


Potential Outcomes: Moderate rise (40%) with revenue growth, stabilization (35%) amidst mean-reversion, and decline (25%) due to financial strain and market volatility.


Trading Oracle: Bullish long volatility approach. Execute by buying Jan 2025 $2.0 calls and selling $3.0 calls. Helium implies positive edge (44%) at moderate reward:risk ratio due to heightened implied volatility. Opt for 6-month outlook targeting PACB’s potential upside amidst current price action.


July 21, 2024


Pacific Biosciences of California Forecast

PACB      Pacific Biosciences of California











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PACB



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.91)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.48)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PACB



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.48)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.76)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.82)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.91)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PACB



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.91)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.48)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.76)





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