PATH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PATH shows robust AI-driven growth prospects and positive sentiment with high call volume, indicating potential upward movement.




Bearish Case: Intense competition and legal challenges persist, coupled with a recent price decline, market volatility remains high.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Earnings beat via AI growth
  • 30%: Legal impact hits operations
  • 20%: Insider selling depresses stock




Trading Oracle: Deploy bullish debit spreads (buy $14 calls/sell $16 calls) expiring in ~40 days. Elevated IV and bullish sentiment present high reward/risk. Focus on mid-Feb strikes aligning with potential earnings catalyst for max alpha.



January 04, 2025


UiPath Forecast

PATH        UiPath











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PATH



CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.88)


FSLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLY  Fastly (0.86)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.86)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.85)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PATH



TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.01)


SKLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKLZ  Skillz (0.01)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.01)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (0.01)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PATH



KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.71)


AGIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGIO  Agios Pharmaceuticals (-0.72)


VNDA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNDA  Vanda Pharmaceuticals (-0.73)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.77)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.78)









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