PEN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PEN shows heightened bullish sentiment with call options outpacing puts by 92%. Robust sales growth and innovative products bolster growth potential, supported by stable implied volatility projections.




Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio and historical mean reversion suggest potential overvaluation risks. Elevated implied volatility indicates market concerns about sustainability of recent gains.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 65% chance of moderate price increase driven by sales growth.
  • 20% chance of reversal due to high valuation concerns.
  • 15% chance of stable trend amid market volatility.



April 03, 2025


Penumbra Forecast

PEN        Penumbra











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PEN



V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (0.91)


RELY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RELY  Remitly (0.89)


DAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVE  Dave (0.86)


KC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KC  Kingsoft Cloud (0.86)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PEN



ESI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESI  Element (-0.0)


DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (0.01)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.01)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.04)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PEN



GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.8)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.81)


TAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAN  Invesco Solar (-0.81)


AGEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGEN  Agenus (-0.82)


NKTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKTX  Nkarta (-0.82)









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