PERI Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: PERI's robust M&A strategy and technical strength signal potential for substantial upside, evidenced by historical returns and solid growth metrics.


Bearish Case: Decreasing revenue, legal issues, and over-reliance on Microsoft pose significant risks, aligned with high implied volatility suggesting future price drops.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Upside breakout on strong earnings (+30%), 20%.

2. Continued decline due to legal and revenue issues (-20%), 50%.

3. Mean reversion, minor recovery (+10%), 30%.


Trading Oracle: Capitalize on high IV with bearish debit spreads targeting short-term downside. Buy October 2024 $10 puts, sell August 2024 $7.5 puts. High edge, positive R/R, quick payout. Action plan leverages implied volatility discrepancies for maximum profit.


July 18, 2024


Perion Network Forecast

PERI      Perion Network











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PERI



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.87)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.78)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PERI



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.73)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.78)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.87)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PERI



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.87)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.78)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.73)





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