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POWL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: POWL's robust historical returns and positive sentiment in the energy sector suggest potential for continued growth, especially with recent strategic expansions.



Bearish Case: Recent high volatility, insider selling, and mean-reverting price pattern indicate possible correction. Elevated valuations and bearish risk pose further downside threats.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Moderate Growth (35%): Positive industry trends drive price up.
  • Correction (30%): Overvaluation triggers sell-off.
  • Volatility persists (25%): External factors maintain fluctuation.
  • Stabilization (10%): Price settles amid mean reversion.



Trading Oracle: Utilize Bullish Short Volatility: By selling ATM puts and buying OOTM puts, capitalize on high implied volatility and potential price surge. Selected for hedging against downside risk amid mean-reverting tendencies.


March 12, 2025


Powell Industries Forecast

POWL        Powell Industries

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with POWL


CW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CW  Curtiss-Wright (0.89)


PWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PWR  Quanta Services (0.89)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.88)


MTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTZ  Mastec (0.87)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to POWL


EPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPI  WisdomTree India Earnings (0.01)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.01)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.01)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against POWL


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.71)


HRTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRTX  Heron Therapeutics (-0.73)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.74)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.74)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.78)







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