PUK Forecast


Bullish Case: Prudential's growing stake by institutional investors signals confidence. Strong strategic investments in Asia and Africa and a potential turnaround hold promise.


Bearish Case: Persisting legal challenges, interest rate exposure, and declining portfolio performance could hinder recovery and investor confidence, resulting in continued underperformance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Strategic growth yields higher earnings (45%).

2. Market volatility and legal uncertainties weigh down (35%).

3. Moderate stabilization from strategic initiatives (15%).

4. Significant decline due to macroeconomic shifts (5%).


Trading Oracle: Leverage high implied volatility in PUK options by executing debit spreads, targeting medium-term bullish outlook. Prefer higher strike prices (20-23) over 3-6 months to profit from expected stability and potential recovery.


July 01, 2024


Prudential Forecast

PUK      Prudential











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PUK



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.83)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PUK



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.75)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.82)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.83)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PUK



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.83)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.75)





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