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ROK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong demand for industrial automation and strategic acquisitions position ROK well in a growing sector, supported by the flat implied volatility structure and robust call trading volumes.

Bearish Case: Operational challenges, persisting cybersecurity threats, and recent political instability may pose significant risks, compounded by high implied volatility in short-term options.

Potential Outcomes: 60% price increase due to automation growth; 25% decline from security issues; 15% remain flat as competing factors balance out.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread. Buy $295 calls, sell $305 calls expiring in June. Leverage contango structure and low volatility, aiming for high probability of profit while managing downside.

February 22, 2025

Rockwell Automation Forecast

ROK Rockwell Automation

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROK

GTLB Gitlab (0.77)

ASAN Asana (0.77)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.77)

PAYC Paycom Software (0.76)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROK

RACE Ferrari (0.0)

NOMD Nomad Foods (-0.01)

SNPS Synopsys (-0.01)

DELL Dell (-0.01)

SAN Banco Santander (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROK

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.66)

ASPN Aspen Aerogels (-0.71)

FSLR First Solar (-0.73)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.73)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.74)

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