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SAA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SAA's high implied volatility and recent price uptrend suggest potential for continued gains, supported by strong leverage in bullish markets.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility indicates market uncertainty. Risks include potential volatility spikes and leveraged downside due to adverse market conditions.

Potential Outcomes: Moderate rally (40% chance) due to volatility spikes; flat performance (30%); downturn (30%) amidst market fears.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bull call spread: buy SAA 26.00 C, sell 28.00 C. This leverages high implied volatility and targets a 2-month horizon. Positive edge from volatility trends offers high reward with moderate risk.

January 04, 2025

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SAA ProShares Ultra SmallCap600

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SAA

UWM ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.99)

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.92)

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.91)

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.89)

VTV Vanguard Value (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAA

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.0)

OLED Universal Display (-0.02)

FMC FMC (0.02)

LCID Lucid (-0.02)

WY Weyerhaeuser (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAA

ASML New York Shares (-0.69)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.71)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.72)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.