SIGI Forecast


Bullish Case: SIGI may experience price appreciation due to positive trends in net premiums and innovative offerings, which indicate potential for heightened demand and improved profitability.


Bearish Case: Insider selling signals caution, along with stagnant price action and market uncertainty, poses a risk of further price decline or continued stagnation in SIGI's stock performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 50% chance of growth from ongoing innovation.

2) 25% chance of stagnation due to market conditions.

3) 25% chance of decline from insider selling and market fluctuations.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish debit spread strategy with SIGI, focusing on buying the 90.00 call and selling the 100.00 call with expiration in 3 months. This approach leverages higher implied volatility and captures potential upside with limited risk.


July 25, 2024


Selective Insurance Forecast

SIGI      Selective Insurance











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SIGI



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.41)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.18)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIGI



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.18)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.41)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIGI



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.41)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.18)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)





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