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SLDB Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Positive clinical trial results for Duchenne therapy, combined with the recent upward price momentum, suggest potential for recovery. Increased buzz and optimism in social media could fuel further bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: SLDB faces high volatility and skepticism due to past setbacks. The recent spike in put option activity indicates market uncertainty, aligning with weak historical returns and the biotech sector's inherent risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Major breakthrough in trials: 20%
  • Continued flat performance: 50%
  • Regulatory setback: 30%
These probabilities are based on historical data, current developments, and sector-specific risks.



Trading Oracle: Given the volatile nature and recent decrease in price, a Bearish Long Volatility strategy is recommended: Bearish Long Volatility. The high implied volatility and increased put activity support this approach, leveraging possible downturns in trial outcomes.


February 26, 2025


Solid Biosciences Forecast

SLDB        Solid Biosciences

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