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SM Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: With strong institutional interest and increased volatility in options trading, a bullish reversal could catalyze a price increase towards the $50 mark as energy demand rebounds.

Bearish Case: Continued revenue challenges and looming economic uncertainties may pressurize SM's stock into a downward trajectory, potentially retesting lows around $40 amidst rising market volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40%: Earnings stability boosts price, meeting or exceeding projections.

2. 30%: Regulatory changes or external shocks dampen confidence.

3. 20%: Increased energy demand propels stock upward.

4. 10%: Major operational challenges lead to dismal earnings.

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November 19, 2024

SM Energy Forecast

SM SM Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SM

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.9)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.87)

VLO Valero Energy (0.85)

VDE Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy (0.82)

BNO United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SM

VOD Vodafone (-0.0)

ZI ZoomInfo (0.0)

CYBR CyberArk Software (0.0)

BEN Franklin Resources (-0.0)

ISRG Intuitive Surgical (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SM

EPR EPR Properties (-0.67)

ADBE Adobe (-0.69)

PENN Penn National Gaming (-0.69)

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (-0.77)

ZTS Zoetis (-0.82)

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