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SMPL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong demand in the health snack sector, recent product innovations, and successful brand integrations could lead to SMPL continued growth.

Bearish Case: High valuation concerns, increased competition, and over-reliance on trends could undermine SMPL’s market position.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of slow growth fueled by health trend; 20% potential downside due to competition; 20% upside from successful product innovations.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying 40.00 C and selling 50.00 C expiring August 2025. Leverage relatively low implied volatility on calls to capture upward potential driven by health trends. Focus on mid-term outlook to exploit potential catalysts.

January 29, 2025

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Uncorrelated Assets

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HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.7)

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