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SMPL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SMPL's consistent sales growth and insider confidence could catalyze a price increase, especially given the backwardated term structure indicating near-term undervaluation.

Bearish Case: High competition and recent insider selling indicate potential downside. Elevated implied volatility on puts reflects market anxiety amid flat price action.

Potential Outcomes: Expect 60% stable growth due to health snack demand, 30% moderate decline from competition, 10% unexpected bullish catalyst.

May 25, 2025

Simply Good Foods Forecast

SMPL Simply Good Foods

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SMPL

CPRT Copart (0.75)

UPWK Upwork (0.64)

KODK Eastman Kodak (0.61)

AMZN Amazon.com (0.61)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.61)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SMPL

POWW AMMO (-0.0)

EQX Equinox Gold (-0.0)

ROIV Roivant Sciences (-0.0)

SIG Signet Jewelers (-0.01)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SMPL

ES Eversource Energy (-0.61)

O Realty Income (-0.62)

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.63)

SNY Sanofi (-0.66)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.67)

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