SPG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: SPG is trading 48.1% higher from two years ago, with Helium's AI forecasting a positive bias and low implied volatilities. Consistent dividends and recent strategic acquisitions support sustained growth.


Bearish Case: SPG faces risks from high price-to-book ratios, overvaluation concerns, and potential shareholder sell-offs. Lawsuits and competition from e-commerce may also impact profitability.


Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of dividend-driven growth, 35% risk of underperformance due to valuation, 15% chance of stagnation amid market uncertainty and lawsuits. Adjustments are in response to evolving market conditions and historical data. Predictions refactored from prior


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July 21, 2024


Simon Property Group Forecast

SPG      Simon Property Group











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.55)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.56)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPG



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.55)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.56)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.82)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.82)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.55)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.56)





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