SQ Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Helium's implied volatility forecast shows increased confidence in SQ, paired with strong digital payment adoption trends, suggest a bullish outlook driven by potential earnings growth.




Bearish Case: Rising competition in fintech and recent volatility trends signal potential price pressure on SQ, possibly leading to negative performance amid market uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued bullish momentum (45% probability);

2. Sideways movement due to volatility (30%);

3. Sharp decline due to competitive pressures (25%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread, specifically buying the SQ 11/15/2024 $84 calls while selling $90 calls. This capitalizes on elevated volatility with a defined risk profile, driving potential gains while market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.



November 12, 2024


Square Forecast

SQ        Square











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Assets that tend to move strongly with SQ



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NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (0.68)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.66)


RGTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGTI  Rigetti Computing (0.66)


TRMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMB  Trimble (0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SQ



DSGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DSGX  Descartes Systems (0.0)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.0)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (-0.0)


EDC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDC  Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Sh (-0.0)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SQ



HUMA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUMA  Humacyte (-0.38)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.39)


AMED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMED  Amedisys (-0.4)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (-0.45)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.48)









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