SQFT Forecast


Bullish Case: SQFT's recent tweets on real estate indicate potential positive development prospects. If redevelopment progresses, it may boost stock prices, backed by their consistent dividend payment history.


Bearish Case: SQFT's persistent downtrend, mean-reverting nature, and high implied volatility (risk) suggest further price decline. Option pricing shows market skepticism with low trading volumes reflecting investor wariness.


Potential Outcomes:

1. (80%) Continued mean-reversion and decline due to poor past price performance.

2. (10%) Dividend cuts if financial instability persists.

3. (10%) Successful redevelopment projects boosting stock prices.


Trading Oracle: Employ Helium Short Volatility strategy with bearish bias. Initiate August 2024 2.50-5.00 credit call spreads given high implied volatility and mean-reverting price action. This capitalizes on price decline probability with limited risk.


July 04, 2024


Presidio Property Forecast

SQFT      Presidio Property











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SQFT



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.07)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.16)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SQFT



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.03)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.07)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.16)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SQFT



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.07)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.03)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.16)





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