SUB Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SUB's stable municipal focus and low volatility profile make it an attractive hedge amid rising market uncertainties, potentially stabilizing or slightly increasing prices.




Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and geopolitical risks could suppress SUB’s price due to increased yield sensitivity, potentially driving more significant downturns in returns.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Geopolitical détente: 25%. Stability increases, aiding SUB.
  • Interest rate hikes: 50%. Depress prices significantly.
  • Market volatility spike: 25%. Neutral to positive if SUB acts as a hedge.




Trading Oracle: Initiate a long volatility debit spread on SUB. Short-term (2-4 weeks) with a focus on capturing potential volatility spikes due to geopolitical and interest rate factors. Optimal reward:risk ratio expected with defined risk strategy.



January 11, 2025


BTC iShares Short-Term Na Forecast

SUB        BTC iShares Short-Term Na











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SUB



EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.74)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.73)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (0.72)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (0.7)


FHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FHI  Federated Hermes (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SUB



NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (-0.01)


WRAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRAP  Wrap (-0.02)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.02)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.03)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SUB



TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.64)


BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.65)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.68)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.74)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.8)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with SUB


 Ask any question about SUB!