TARA Forecast


Bullish Case: Positive trial results for TARA-002 could drive significant gains, potentially pushing the stock above previous highs as investor sentiment becomes more optimistic. FDA approvals would further enhance this bullish scenario, suggesting TARA may experience strong upward momentum.


Bearish Case: Negative news regarding trial setbacks or regulatory hurdles could lead to a sharp decline in TARA's price, reinforcing the ongoing market skepticism and possibly driving it below recent support levels, especially given its history of mean reversion.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive ADVANCED-2 trial results (45%);

2. Disappointing IV Choline Chloride update (20%);

3. Financing issues leading to a 20% drop (25%);

4. Overall market downturn affecting TARA with a 30% chance.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance using debit spreads on TARA 08/16/2024 5.00 C as the implied volatility is high. This strategy leverages potential short-term upward movements due to earnings or trial news while managing risk effectively. Monitor closely for news catalysts.


July 25, 2024


Protara Therapeutics Forecast

TARA      Protara Therapeutics











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LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.44)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TARA



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.44)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.7)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TARA



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.7)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.45)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.3)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.44)





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