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TGI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TGI's recent price stability and potential contract wins point to growth. Low implied volatility for future options suggests increased investor confidence.

Bearish Case: High historical volatility and flat recent price action indicate bearish pressure. Negative market sentiment and declining implied volatility undermine growth prospects.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate growth (55%): Driven by potential new contracts and stability.

2. Stagnation (30%): Persistent market uncertainty and sector challenges.

3. Decline (15%): Economic downturn or missed opportunities lead to losses.

Trading Oracle: Consider a short call credit spread targeting TGI’s strikes above $20 in 3 months. Volatility is lower, allowing for capped risk with a bearish stance. This strategy exploits potential market stagnation with favorable reward-to-risk given current sentiment and implied volatility surface.

January 22, 2025

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TGI Triumph

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See Longer Forecasts

Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TGI

GTLS Chart Industries (0.68)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.63)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.63)

URBN Urban Outfitters (0.62)

PLBY PLBY (0.62)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TGI

SU Suncor Energy (-0.0)

MTW Manitowoc Co. (0.01)

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.01)

XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.01)

EXR Extra Space Storage (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TGI

ABEV Ambev (-0.55)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.6)

PEP Pepsico (-0.61)

FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.63)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.65)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.