TGI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TGI's restructuring might successfully stabilize its operations, potentially leading to revived market interest driven by improved financial health and renewed investor confidence.




Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and low historical returns can exacerbate investor concerns, possibly leading to continued selling pressure and further declines in TGI's stock price.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Market stabilization leading to a resurgence (40%)
  • Persistent consumer trends harming revenues (35%)
  • M&A activity igniting interest (15%)
  • Continued decline due to competition (10%)




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December 17, 2024


Triumph Forecast

TGI        Triumph











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TGI



GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (0.0)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (-0.01)


ON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ON  ON Semiconductor (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TGI



MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.46)


FLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLO  Flowers Foods (-0.49)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.5)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (-0.53)


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (-0.63)









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