TLH Forecast


Bullish Case: Positive historical returns and lower volatility suggest potential upside. Technical analysis indicates strong support levels around $100.


Bearish Case: Consistent underperformance, higher bearish risk, and increased put volume indicate potential downside. Economic factors may drive further bond price declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic Recovery: 30%.

2. Continued Interest Rate Hikes: 25%.

3. Bond Market Stabilization: 20%.

4. Recession: 15%.

5. Other Factors: 10%. Predictions based on historical data, current trends, and economic indicators.


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bearish contractionary debit spread with long volatility: Buy 1 $103 put and sell 1 $101 put expiring in ~81 days. This setup has a 54% win rate, offering excellent risk-reward with a historical return of 76%.


July 03, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond Forecast

TLH      BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond











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VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.36)


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LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.07)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.33)





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