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TM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Toyota's focus on hybrid and hydrogen technology, coupled with successful model launches, can drive market recovery, especially in markets like China where localized EVs gain traction.

Bearish Case: Lagging full EV adoption and intense competition in key markets like China and Thailand could erode market share, coupled with high financial leverage from recent strategic deals.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful hybrid/hydrogen sales boost market share (35%).

2. EV lag causes market share loss (30%).

3. Supply chain improvements enhance production (20%).

4. Regulatory/economic challenges impact sales (15%).

June 20, 2025

Toyota Motor Forecast

TM Toyota Motor

Price Forecast
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