TRIP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: TRIP's strong seasonal travel trends, with 82% of U.S. travelers planning summer vacations, coupled with upcoming AI features, suggest potential revenue boosts, enhancing user engagement and stock recovery prospects.


Bearish Case: Ongoing competition from free travel platforms, coupled with historical underperformance and upcoming legal challenges, continues to pose significant threats to TRIP’s market share and profitability.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Recovery in user engagement (40%);

2) Seasonal revenue boost (60%);

3) Ongoing legal issues stifle growth (70%);

4) Increased competition leads to value loss (55%).


Trading Oracle: Adopt a neutral to slightly bullish stance by implementing bull call spreads. Buy $18.00 calls expiring in a month and sell $20.00 calls to capture potential short-term gains while managing risk. This strategy leverages the implied volatility spike and aligns with anticipated positive trends.


July 25, 2024


TripAdvisor Forecast

TRIP      TripAdvisor











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRIP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.53)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.08)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.4)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRIP



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.08)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.53)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRIP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.53)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.08)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.25)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.4)





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