TUP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Recent retail partnership with Macy's and restructuring efforts suggest potential upside. Helium AI's +1.83% forecast supports a speculative bullish stance.


Bearish Case: TUP faces continued financial struggles, high implied volatility, and heavy put option volume, signaling market skepticism and potential downside.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Restructuring success (30%),

2. Bankruptcy (40%),

3. No significant change (20%),

4. Acquisition/partnership (10%).


Trading Oracle: Trade bullish debit spreads expiring in 8 days: Buy 8 $1.5 strike calls and sell 7 $2.0 strike calls. This leverages high implied volatility and potential short-term bullish movement, with positive edge and high reward:risk. Minimal risk but high potential reward.


July 20, 2024


Tupperware Brands Forecast

TUP      Tupperware Brands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TUP



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.67)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.48)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TUP



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.67)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TUP



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.67)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.48)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.43)





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